Gracious-Subscription
0xbffa13d194afbedf8e0e1b820a2226fdf898e645
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$105.91
Total PnL
$-0.07
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
35 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$35.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$24.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.87
$-0.07
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.02
$0.01
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.00
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.98May 13, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?$25.00May 2, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$15.00May 2, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$5.00May 2, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$29.03May 2, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?$19.88May 2, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?$39.88Apr 8, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$29.00Mar 16, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66?$30.03Mar 16, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 19?$52.05Mar 16, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 19?$52.00Feb 19, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$32.93Feb 19, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$17.91Feb 19, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$33.00Feb 2, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$35.00Feb 2, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$18.00Feb 2, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$8.02Feb 2, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$80.08Feb 2, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$8.00Jan 22, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $393.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.