Vengeful-Plough
0xc00257ccc297ac4149132ce7a50d68f0e56f6f57
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.1K
Total PnL
$-76.66
Realised
$3.85
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
4623 shares @ 92.2¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.2K
$-99.71
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
988 shares @ 96.8¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$942.33
$-14.33
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
763 shares @ 73.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$576.40
$19.09
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
595 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$548.23
$-10.50
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of June 22 2026?
364 shares @ 64.9¢·now 67.4¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$245.22
$9.10
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June?
265 shares @ 84.9¢·now 87.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$231.18
$6.11
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
193 shares @ 83.5¢·now 87.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$169.15
$8.24
- NO
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?
284 shares @ 45.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$135.11
$7.11
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 93.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$94.45
$1.15
- YES
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
28 shares @ 40.1¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.62
$0.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$1.8KJun 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$920.00Jun 22, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June?$226.43Jun 22, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of June 22 2026?$239.44Jun 22, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$465.00Jun 22, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$363.00Jun 22, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$151.25Jun 22, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$121.00Jun 22, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$321.41Jun 22, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$564.00Jun 22, 11:43 UTC
- REWARD$37.03Jun 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?$9.60Jun 21, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?$9.40Jun 21, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?$43.25Jun 21, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?$45.00Jun 21, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?$10.00Jun 20, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?$160.97Jun 20, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?$29.40Jun 20, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$68.04Jun 20, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 20?$2.97Jun 20, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $181.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.