Enchanting-Parent
0xc004d558d06b513ce0df7ecc93643ddf938e5092
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
197
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-161.23
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 197- YES
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
553 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-315.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
350 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
346 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
289 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
238 shares @ 83.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
236 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-98.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$4.15May 30, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$3.65May 30, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$3.05May 30, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$3.08May 30, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.03May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.02May 30, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$2.63May 30, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$2.03May 30, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$30.54May 30, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.04May 30, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.56May 30, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.31May 30, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.05May 30, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.84May 30, 12:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $52.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.