Humming-Matter
0xc00c2e37db40f03c20c108ca8df9fdfaa15264bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-478.30
Realised
$40.68
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
2329 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on January 28?
1785 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 29?
1429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on January 29?
1254 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
908 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.08
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 28?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 11?
433 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 10?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$20.69Jul 2, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$24.82Jul 2, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$20.74Jul 2, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$48.49Jul 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.05Jul 1, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$20.66Jul 1, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$29.11Jul 1, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$21.02Jul 1, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 1?$5.14Jul 1, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 1?$5.23Jul 1, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 30?$5.18Jul 1, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 30?$2.33Jul 1, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $1,600 on June 30?$6.49Jul 1, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 1?$10.18Jun 30, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 1?$5.01Jun 30, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 1?$5.10Jun 30, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 1?$5.10Jun 30, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 1?$5.02Jun 30, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,600 on June 30?$5.08Jun 30, 20:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $15.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.