Murky-Arrest
0xc00de9ccf3e3585732337970814533af52096cd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$-19.7K
Realised
$-4.4K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
597212 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.9K
$-5.1K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
58824 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-999.94
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
58674 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
20353 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
18358 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-749.98
- YES
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
10024 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.61Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.72Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
8/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $3.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.