Cooked-Numeracy
0xc01450a607fabdb427767d4d46cee23480c49d9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
18 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
6 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Border" 5+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?
5 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-0.55
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will EA say "Skate" during earnings call?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$2.06Jun 13, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?$0.00Mar 7, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?$1.00Dec 8, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.63Dec 8, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.98Dec 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.20Dec 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.24Dec 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$1.78Dec 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Nov 30, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.08Nov 30, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$1.00Nov 22, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$0.00Nov 20, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$1.00Nov 18, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?$0.73Nov 12, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.00Nov 12, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.00Nov 12, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.00Nov 12, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.00Nov 12, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$1.00Nov 9, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?$2.38Nov 9, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.