Emotional-Reluctance
0xc014f299041dff03be97372bab93ee8f77417ea0
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.44
Total PnL
$-3.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$2.58
$1.63
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$2.48
$0.49
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$2.28
$0.30
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- YES
Will CDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Powell say "China" during July Press Conference?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during July Press Conference?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during July Press Conference?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$2.00Apr 8, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$2.00Apr 8, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$2.00Apr 8, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$9.76Apr 8, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$7.14Mar 28, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?$41.62Mar 28, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?$41.00Oct 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$2.00Oct 17, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$1.00Oct 17, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be ≥46.5% on July 11?$5.06Oct 17, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be 46.0–46.4% on July 11?$5.11Oct 17, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?$6.12Oct 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be ≥46.5% on July 11?$5.00Jul 7, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be 46.0–46.4% on July 11?$5.00Jul 7, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?$3.00Jul 7, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?$1.00Jul 7, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during July Press Conference?$1.00Jul 7, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Downbeat" during July Press Conference?$1.00Jul 7, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "China" during July Press Conference?$1.00Jul 7, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $8.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 11:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.