Incomparable-Realm
0xc0190592799fead23e92f30fbdd0a109f47049dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$279.85
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-665.61
Win rate
0%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- NO
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
194 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$68.87
$-0.97
- YES
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
98 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$60.27
$-0.49
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
154 shares @ 39.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$56.21
$-3.85
- NO
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
150 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$48.75
$-0.75
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
150 shares @ 32.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$45.75
$-2.25
- NO
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?
570 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-209.93
- YES
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
534 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-121.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
388 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
384 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-49.92
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
353 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-112.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$71.18Jun 20, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$169.00Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$233.99Jun 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$61.45Jun 19, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$50.49Jun 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$61.16Jun 19, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-06-22?$48.98Jun 19, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$61.07Jun 19, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$101.55Jun 19, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$97.40Jun 19, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$100.94Jun 19, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$375.00Jun 19, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$182.81Jun 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$102.19Jun 18, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Panama win on 2026-06-17?$139.00Jun 18, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-17?$263.00Jun 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-17?$100.92Jun 17, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$151.84Jun 16, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$115.26Jun 16, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$61.02Jun 16, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
63/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
63 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $75.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.