Incomparable-Realm
0xc0190592799fead23e92f30fbdd0a109f47049dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$-665.61
Win rate
0%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- NO
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?
570 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-209.93
- YES
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
534 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-121.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
388 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
384 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-49.92
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
353 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-112.96
- NO
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
312 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-138.60
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?
277 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-99.72
- NO
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
264 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.32
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
258 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-149.64
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-99.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$60.78Jul 9, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-05?$250.00Jul 6, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-05?$96.77Jul 5, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$172.00Jun 27, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$101.67Jun 26, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?$101.63Jun 26, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$101.02Jun 26, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$200.00Jun 25, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$62.71Jun 24, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-24?$76.58Jun 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$59.24Jun 24, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$103.50Jun 24, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$98.00Jun 23, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$150.00Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$71.18Jun 20, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$169.00Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$233.99Jun 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$61.45Jun 19, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$50.49Jun 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$61.16Jun 19, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
63 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $86.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 18:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.