0xc01bcc66aeeabb6a3ac2a0f9665d98e21ea09d82
0xc01bcc66aeeabb6a3ac2a0f9665d98e21ea09d82
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$72.59
Total PnL
$-161.13
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
44 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$43.80
$0.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2PM ET
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$16.13
$6.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11PM ET
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$12.66
$2.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1AM ET
23 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9AM ET
23 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1PM ET
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8PM ET
19 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3PM ET
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10AM ET
19 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 8, 12AM ET
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11PM ET$2.39Jul 12, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11PM ET$7.62Jul 12, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2PM ET$10.00Jul 11, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2AM ET$13.89Jul 11, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12PM ET$15.87Jul 11, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8AM ET$15.87Jul 11, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3AM ET$20.00Jul 11, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12PM ET$3.15Jul 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12PM ET$1.23Jul 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12PM ET$3.15Jul 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12PM ET$2.47Jul 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11AM ET$10.00Jul 11, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8AM ET$1.12Jul 11, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8AM ET$8.88Jul 11, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7AM ET$10.00Jul 11, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3AM ET$10.00Jul 11, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2AM ET$10.00Jul 11, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12AM ET$10.00Jul 11, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10PM ET$1.96Jul 11, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7PM ET$12.99Jul 11, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.