Yummy-Barrage
0xc025ba8d8be27e53761161392b2685642a10b237
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-66.56
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
21667 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-79.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?
14476 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-58.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
1379 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-85.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
1080 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
624 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-58.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 26?
550 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
465 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
407 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-81.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
350 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-102.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
305 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$12.29Jun 29, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$8.62Jun 29, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.15Jun 21, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.26Jun 21, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$25.91Jun 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.02Jun 21, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$3.23Jun 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$51.45Jun 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$82.48Jun 20, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$60.85Jun 20, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$29.84Jun 20, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$10.36Apr 29, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$11.33Apr 29, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$10.34Apr 29, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$9.24Apr 29, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$5.23Apr 29, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$7.81Apr 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$5.24Apr 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$26.25Apr 29, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$26.25Apr 29, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $29.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 16:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.