Well-Groomed-Wellbeing
0xc032bc3715440be1b6daa48b42a49b325c3afa0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-234.01
Win rate
30%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- SPAIN
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
3285 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.9K
$-16.42
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$96.78
$-0.08
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
175 shares @ 17.6¢·now 41.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$72.69
$41.97
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
78 shares @ 37.5¢·now 63.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.20
$20.10
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
27 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$13.37
$-0.14
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 85.5¢·now 58.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.03
$-3.74
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
28 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$7.39
$-0.14
- YES
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.85
$-0.08
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 65.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.84
$-0.23
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
2375 shares @ 50.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$3.91Jul 16, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.0KJul 16, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$9.89Jul 16, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$3.13Jul 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.98Jul 16, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.96Jul 16, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$1.95Jul 16, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.98Jul 16, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$1.95Jul 16, 03:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$98.89Jul 15, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$36.38Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$0.00Jul 15, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.0KJul 15, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$37.86Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$51.70Jul 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47.75Jul 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$18.54Jul 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$19.76Jul 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$19.72Jul 15, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $76.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.