Outstanding-Change
0xc03fd7f514a6d52fe0b8291846717724f6c1249d
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-835.12
Realised
$-51.95
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?
1557 shares @ 51.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$754.95
$-38.91
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$223.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$67.00
$-31.00
- NO
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?
59 shares @ 36.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$15.70
$-5.63
- NO
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
2 shares @ 89.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.81
$0.02
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
2 shares @ 10.8¢·now 50.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.99
$0.78
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 28.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.87
$-0.64
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.28
$-0.12
- NO
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?
1000 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-610.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
200 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-82.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$22.80May 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$75.10May 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$7.60May 14, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$225.00May 14, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$13.93May 14, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$7.60May 14, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$11.10May 14, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$145.00May 14, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$10.50May 14, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$6.00May 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?$110.94May 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$8.32May 14, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$47.84May 14, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$47.84May 14, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$33.49May 14, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$14.44May 14, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$88.68May 14, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?$16.40May 14, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?$13.06May 14, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$104.00May 14, 08:40 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $53.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 05:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".