Elliptical-Forgery
0xc040bc6d808b4570c8648b3d8d94470d89390cfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-411.43
Realised
$3.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
967 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
476 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
376 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-14.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
121 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
111 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
98 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
40 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$70.62Jan 14, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$30.00Jan 14, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$21.87Jan 14, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$90.14Jan 14, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$31.00Jan 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$209.37Jan 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$228.41Jan 8, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$89.60Jan 8, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$19.60Jan 6, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$21.00Jan 6, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$19.20Jan 6, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.40Jan 6, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$21.00Jan 6, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$33.28Jan 5, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$25.20Jan 5, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$54.32Dec 10, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$146.18Dec 10, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$150.00Dec 9, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$370.04Dec 9, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$350.00Dec 9, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $74.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.