Prudent-Authorization
0xc0491ad93cc60b41333d1ff429e92f80975c1056
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-66.49
Win rate
1%
86 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
459 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
363 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
325 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
324 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
275 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
274 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
271 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.30Aug 3, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.31Aug 3, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.31Aug 3, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.31Aug 3, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.21Aug 3, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.24Aug 3, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.19Aug 3, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.27Aug 3, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.27Aug 3, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.13Aug 3, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 86 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
86 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 86 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.