Giving-Delivery
0xc04ed32cbcb4847c225cc6efb0de8418db134fab
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$5.63
Total PnL
$-448.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of August 3 2026?
230 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$5.63
$-4.37
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
245 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
131 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
72 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
66 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
58 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
France vs. England: O/U 3.5
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UNDER
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of August 3 2026?$10.38Aug 2, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.00Jul 30, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$11.76Jul 30, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$4.18Jul 30, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$2.11Jul 30, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$0.00Jul 23, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$6.45Jul 23, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$2.10Jul 23, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$2.11Jul 23, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$2.11Jul 23, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$2.09Jul 22, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.09Jul 22, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.10Jul 22, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.10Jul 22, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$2.11Jul 21, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$2.08Jul 20, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$4.17Jul 20, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$2.07Jul 20, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$4.35Jul 20, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 02:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.