Exotic-Relaxation
0xc050596dcfd6161c4245225ea58a4e664c3c067d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$11.58
Total PnL
$-791.03
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
58 shares @ 24.1¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.58
$-2.48
- YES
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 PGA Championship?
3350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.05
- YES
Will Angel Ayora win the 2026 PGA Championship?
2019 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
964 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?
942 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-45.22
- YES
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 U.S. Open?
875 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-21.88
- YES
Will David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship?
800 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
720 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?$1.1KJul 19, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?$129.91Jul 19, 05:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $21.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.