Calm-Shape
0xc0529d01c010a819841d03e47c1a77359aa58524
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$88.94
Total PnL
$-31.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$50.00
$20.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?
27 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$27.00
$13.23
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
8 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.00
$4.32
- NO
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$3.94
$1.93
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?
55 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-29.70
- YES
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?
26 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-15.34
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?
12 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$4.05Nov 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael parliament dissolved in 2025?$4.55Nov 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?$13.77Nov 16, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?$29.70Nov 16, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?$15.34Nov 16, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?$30.00Nov 16, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high before 2026?$9.40Nov 9, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?$0.21Oct 9, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$5.82Sep 27, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$7.46Sep 7, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLDoge ETF approved in 2025?$6.72Sep 4, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$20.00Sep 3, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$1.80Aug 18, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$1.05Aug 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$7.80Aug 18, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by 2025?$33.41Aug 18, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?$1.08Aug 18, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on July 23 at 5PM ET?$0.00Aug 10, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal before August?$0.00Aug 10, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$0.00Aug 10, 09:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.