0xc05bb94362825ab3c9276a406da4895bccffab43
0xc05bb94362825ab3c9276a406da4895bccffab43
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$28.61
Total PnL
$-395.98
Realised
$-1.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.71
$0.76
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 94.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.71
$1.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
4 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$4.06
$0.49
- OVER
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$3.05
$0.51
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.03
$0.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$2.03
$0.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$2.03
$0.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$2.01
$0.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$2.01
$0.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$1.99
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5$2.60Jul 28, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 27?$1.05Jul 27, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.95Jul 26, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?$2.70Jul 25, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 24?$3.65Jul 24, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$2.90Jul 23, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?$5.00Jul 22, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?$2.40Jul 22, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$3.95Jul 21, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?$3.20Jul 20, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa$3.26Jul 20, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.98Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?$1.25Jul 19, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.94Jul 17, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.08Jul 16, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.96Jul 15, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$5.00Jul 14, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$3.36Jul 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGranby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin$3.40Jul 13, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 02:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.