Angry-Botany
0xc062a4d0543bf1d4a89d55e253e04911b5941ddf
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$200.10
Total PnL
$-1.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$200.10
$0.90
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
240 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
160 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$129.61Mar 30, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$129.74Mar 30, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$1.20Mar 27, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$1.12Mar 25, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$199.20Mar 22, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.12Mar 19, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$179.10Mar 13, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$179.46Mar 13, 15:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Dec 16, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$606.34Dec 15, 07:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 15, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$607.56Dec 14, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$625.59Dec 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$626.22Dec 14, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$608.17Dec 14, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$608.78Dec 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?$637.44Dec 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?$638.72Nov 29, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$608.78Nov 26, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$609.39Nov 26, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $478.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 16:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.