Ill-Informed-Integer
0xc06b978fce69a92106ef93245a66313cead32e6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
20550 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.55
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sergei Syrankov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?
308 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
107 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
102 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?
83 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.55Oct 16, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$6.00Mar 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$10.00Jan 18, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergei Syrankov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?$2.00Jan 9, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?$1.24Dec 28, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?$1.75Dec 24, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.60Dec 13, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$1.94Dec 9, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?$1.25Dec 9, 09:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $5.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.