Discrete-Ash-Shout
0xc0774a2a7622eb54ac0d47b21191c477f84eeeff
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.9K
Realised
$-129.30
Win rate
6%
143 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10PM ET
2017 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-522.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1382 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-141.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
1299 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-171.92
- NASTASJA SCHUNK
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunk
1200 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-57.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-161.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
800 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-139.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
791 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-28.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11PM ET
782 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-167.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
700 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-54.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
700 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-105.98
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.86Aug 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$31.32Aug 14, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$6.00Aug 14, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$82.20Aug 14, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$100.00Aug 14, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$67.00Aug 14, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$15.05Aug 14, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$4.55Aug 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$13.65Aug 14, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$120.00Aug 14, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$14.23Aug 14, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$103.07Aug 14, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$118.47Aug 14, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$63.67Aug 14, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$39.37Aug 14, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$70.00Aug 14, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$47.98Aug 14, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$64.00Aug 14, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$7.60Aug 14, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$18.75Aug 14, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 143 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
143 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $28.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 143 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.