Ill-Reason
0xc079ef21f6e7964623a8babcc79348dab565d4a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$893.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
800 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$790.80
$-1.20
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)
24 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$23.63
$3.07
- OVER
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5
23 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$23.35
$4.44
- OVER
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
23 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$22.62
$9.05
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
23 shares @ 61.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$14.79
$0.69
- CHICAGO CUBS
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)
36 shares @ 24.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.51
$0.90
- OVER
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5
8 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$8.30
$2.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5PM ET
2988 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12PM ET
1589 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-794.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4PM ET
650 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-325.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)$2.33May 17, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)$6.48May 17, 07:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5$5.81May 16, 06:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)$5.51May 15, 05:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)$20.64May 14, 04:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$3.83May 13, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$10.44May 13, 05:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5$10.53May 12, 07:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5$19.02May 11, 13:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5$13.73May 10, 04:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 9, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5$5.40May 8, 03:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $9.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".