Average-High
0xc07d03ccc194d80d601578d2adf7e22b78e9f9ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$165.86
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
2784 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
426 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-66.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
310 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
309 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
308 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-39.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
271 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-177.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
234 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-95.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
208 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-106.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
207 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-87.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$27.48Jul 6, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$94.72Jul 2, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$90.53Jul 2, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$87.46Jul 2, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$103.57Jul 2, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$62.56Jul 2, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$57.32Jul 2, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$26.08Jul 2, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$26.12Jul 2, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$164.00Jul 2, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$78.32Jul 2, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.23Jul 2, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.23Jul 2, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.23Jul 2, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$26.17Jul 2, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$26.37Jul 2, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$65.12Jul 2, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$25.72Jul 2, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$26.28Jul 2, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $50.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.