Impartial-Handful
0xc083ffe1cc553c0bc146c82d87c2149f16247f22
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.05
Total PnL
$-9.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Nov 1-8?
2 shares @ 77.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$1.60
$0.36
- YES
Annual inflation above 2.4% in October?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2024$1.45
$0.23
- NO
Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?
244 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk before December?
11 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.22
- NO
Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
9 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-1.21
- NO
ETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?
6 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.21
- YES
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2024$0.00
$-1.21
- YES
Israel military strike against Iran in November?
4 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?$1.21Nov 7, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnnual inflation above 2.4% in October?$1.22Nov 7, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$1.21Nov 7, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?$1.22Nov 7, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 80-89 times Nov 1-8?$1.24Nov 7, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?$1.22Nov 7, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia recapture Sudzha before December?$1.20Nov 7, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military strike against Iran in November?$1.23Nov 7, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk before December?$1.22Nov 7, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?$1.21Nov 7, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMYankees vs Royals Series Winner$0.00Nov 7, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $145 on October 11?$0.00Nov 7, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?$1.42Nov 7, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?$1.85Nov 7, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMAnnual inflation above 2.2% in September?$3.92Nov 7, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELL49ers vs. Seahawks$95.31Oct 9, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Seahawks$100.00Oct 9, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $145 on October 11?$1.81Oct 7, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $145 on October 11?$1.06Oct 7, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $145 on October 11?$1.08Oct 7, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $9.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 23:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.