Imaginary-Faculty
0xc089da57a197498b5a96bdc6e44c260400b225b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$9.50
Total PnL
$-80.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 39.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.91
$-1.99
- NO
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.13
$-0.72
- YES
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$-0.94
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-1.80
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?
6 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.01
$-1.40
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
155 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Octra FDV above $400M one day after launch?
60 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.40
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of March?
30 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$10.00Jul 9, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by June 30?$11.00Jul 9, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$11.00Jul 9, 18:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$10.86May 22, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$20.00May 21, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$10.84Apr 27, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$9.82Apr 27, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $4.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.