Admirable-Wampum
0xc08b4657d7c05e3f6af147b6d2056494902da3de
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-199.17
Realised
$-0.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
1400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
181 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
97 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
56 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-22.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
27 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
27 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
25 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$3.07Jun 21, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$2.05Jun 21, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?$1.02Jun 21, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.15May 6, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$11.24May 6, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$10.08May 6, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$7.46May 6, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$5.12May 6, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$5.71Apr 29, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$2.04Apr 28, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$4.27Apr 19, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?$1.00Apr 19, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$2.00Apr 19, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?$1.83Apr 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?$1.00Apr 18, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?$1.00Apr 18, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.89Apr 16, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Apr 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$1.00Apr 7, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.01Apr 2, 22:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 22:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.