Unfinished-Provider
0xc08c285b6eddda102ac42260f974fee2c3cb5edb
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$12.09
Total PnL
$-405.39
Realised
$-5.81
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
9 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$8.92
$3.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
2 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$1.84
$1.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
1 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$1.34
$0.48
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
82 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
55 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Wednesday?
53 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-12.01
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
52 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
50 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8AM ET
48 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-45.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$9.85Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$30.95Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$29.85Feb 16, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$50.00Feb 16, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$50.75Feb 16, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$50.00Feb 16, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$51.72Feb 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$50.00Feb 16, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$50.97Feb 16, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$50.00Feb 16, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$10.62Feb 16, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$10.00Feb 16, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$12.38Feb 16, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$10.00Feb 16, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$7.01Feb 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$10.00Feb 16, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$4.78Feb 16, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$3.00Feb 16, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.70Feb 16, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$7.00Feb 16, 16:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $19.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.