Third-Gambling
0xc09964f4613bc0e1326a0a54491556ba1da54bb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "NATO" during WEF Address on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Expert" or "Genius" during WEF Address on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Denmark" or "Norway" during WEF Address on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" during WEF Address on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
755 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- NO
Will Trump say "Depreciation" during WEF Address on January 21?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.51Jan 21, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.17Jan 21, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Expert" or "Genius" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 21, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$2.00Jan 21, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Depreciation" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Green New Scam" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Denmark" or "Norway" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 16:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".