Tame-Failure
0xc0a0a17ff8fa48e16c277406419908ef515013a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.48
Total PnL
$-58.81
Realised
$0.35
Win rate
48%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
7 shares @ 16.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.48
$-0.68
- YES
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
287 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
247 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?
91 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $160 in March?
90 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will Solana reach $120 March 16-22?
78 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?
70 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in March?
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in March?
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Telstar 1963 vs. PSV end in a draw?$1.00Mar 22, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2026-03-22?$1.00Mar 22, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5$2.04Mar 22, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?$1.00Mar 22, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-22?$1.00Mar 22, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELL100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?$0.06Mar 22, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)$1.95Mar 22, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC win on 2026-03-22?$1.00Mar 22, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)$1.33Mar 22, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNewcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score$2.22Mar 22, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in March?$1.00Mar 21, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 March 16-22?$1.00Mar 21, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEverton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$2.12Mar 21, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $95 on March 21?$1.00Mar 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNewcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score$1.18Mar 21, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5$1.00Mar 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5$3.12Mar 21, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5$1.00Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-21?$0.07Mar 21, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMGenoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5$0.00Mar 21, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".