Left-Departure
0xc0a1dba65f5b141b731061506f2f7db20868ddbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-379.63
Realised
$-12.85
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the match not air?
650 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
120 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-33.60
- YES
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the announcers say "Momentum" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?
88 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-43.87
- YES
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?
85 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.22
- YES
Will Galions qualify for EWC 2026?
81 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-34.83
- YES
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?
81 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-13.77
- YES
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Germany vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?
70 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.90
- YES
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
65 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
- YES
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Ivory Coast vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?
60 shares @ 60.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-36.20
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.68Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?$1.69Jul 1, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Patience" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?$1.91Jul 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Back of the net" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?$15.30Jul 1, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$10.82Jul 1, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?$19.99Jul 1, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?$41.05Jul 1, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?$43.00Jul 1, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$4.09Jul 1, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?$12.03Jul 1, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?$3.25Jul 1, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?$3.25Jul 1, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?$4.24Jul 1, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match not air?$1.04Jul 1, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match not air?$1.56Jul 1, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?$22.72Jul 1, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Elephant" during the Ivory Coast vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?$8.89Jul 1, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Corner" 15+ times during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$30.00Jul 1, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$20.00Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$3.19Jul 1, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $13.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.