Gleaming-Doc
0xc0a424a0647f66ee3cd0be4d209ef5e87a39c235
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?
357 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
243 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
158 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$20.00Dec 5, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$30.00Dec 5, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$0.00Dec 5, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMHouse control after 2024 election?$0.00Dec 5, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$125.90Dec 5, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$0.00Dec 5, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$188.62Dec 5, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$0.00Dec 5, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$17.88Nov 27, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$71.51Nov 27, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Georgia beat Tennessee by 10 or more points?$89.39Nov 25, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia beat Tennessee by 10 or more points?$67.94Nov 17, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$0.00Nov 17, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$67.05Nov 16, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$68.00Nov 16, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$21.18Nov 16, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$47.24Nov 16, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$143.00Nov 13, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$80.00Nov 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$35.00Nov 13, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $83.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 18:45 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.