Flamboyant-Transfer
0xc0a5a01cbbec0e1a6391ddaf6d841ef7a09e4024
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
2045 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-64.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
770 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-584.92
- YES
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
239 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-114.55
- OVER
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5
218 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-150.12
- LAKERS
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- ROCKETS
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
161 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-77.93
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-50.22
- OVER
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5
128 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- BUCCANEERS
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)
124 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-61.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5$151.52Jun 29, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$151.54Jun 29, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$78.51Jun 29, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$78.44Jun 29, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$88.85Jun 29, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$116.34Jun 26, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. France: Both Teams to Score AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?$115.79Jun 26, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. France: Both Teams to Score AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?$59.88Jun 26, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMParaguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5 AND Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score AND Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$60.77Jun 26, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5 AND Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score AND Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$17.46Jun 25, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLCuraçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5 AND Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5 AND Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5 AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?$17.11Jun 25, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuraçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5 AND Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5 AND Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5 AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?$19.91Jun 25, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLCzechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$20.25Jun 25, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$200.87Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLScotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$200.87Jun 25, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$103.34Jun 24, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSwitzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$103.34Jun 24, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$56.06Jun 24, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?$9.15Jun 21, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakova$8.99Jun 21, 09:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $249.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.