Fickle-Bias
0xc0a836906244afd1e6ad353d44bbdc421be6753b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-586.22
Realised
$-34.51
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
315 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-53.77
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Spurs
247 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-101.37
- BUCKS
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)
136 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BLUE JACKETS
Devils vs. Blue Jackets
91 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-48.22
- OHIO STATE
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)
60 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.80
- VANDERBILT
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt
48 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-28.80
- MICHIGAN
Michigan vs. Texas
41 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.62
- MICHIGAN
Spread: Texas (-8.5)
33 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Jan 3, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Jan 3, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jan 3, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Jan 3, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jan 3, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.47Jan 3, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.54Jan 3, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$2.70Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$6.15Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$7.03Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$9.83Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$10.96Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$12.42Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$13.32Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$23.47Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$30.83Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$41.44Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$4.90Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$4.97Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$9.94Jan 2, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.