Youthful-Dead
0xc0a9bf881d436d0689f5707174669169a0a5a815
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$9.68
Total PnL
$-413.66
Realised
$-14.22
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.68
$-0.32
- JAZZ
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.93
- ROCKETS
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
24 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.45
- SENATORS
Senators vs. Predators
21 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- OVER
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
17 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.35
- UNDER
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 142.5
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- COLORADO STATE RAMS
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Rams
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- UNDER
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
- UNDER
Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-04?$7.14Jul 4, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-04?$6.03Jul 3, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$10.03Jul 3, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$5.56Jun 14, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$5.06Jun 10, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.16Jun 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.20Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.01Apr 29, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$5.00Apr 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$5.00Apr 29, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00Apr 29, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.38Apr 29, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$1.07Apr 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$3.23Apr 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$6.53Apr 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.24Apr 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.20Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.56Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.12Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.46Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.