Critical-Acrylic
0xc0abdbdb7e272712121d561625103985780c2741
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$41.75
Total PnL
$0.05
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$6.49
$0.01
- NO
Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$6.39
$0.01
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.86
$0.01
- NO
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.86
$0.01
- NO
Will "Stolen Baby: The Murder of Heidi Broussard" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.72
$0.00
- NO
Will AutoSleep: Watch Sleep Tracker be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$3.36
$0.00
- NO
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$3.29
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$3.16
$0.00
- NO
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.29
$0.01
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.34
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$40.79Jul 18, 11:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $40.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.