Velvety-Watchmaker-Vegetable
0xc0aee94cb6d2b85478ad60c01f4c3f94ffd5bcc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
101
Open notional
$415.01
Total PnL
$-6.91
Realised
$0.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 2?
78 shares @ 41.2¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$35.69
$3.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 31?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.00
$1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 31?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.00
$2.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 1?
20 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$19.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 31?
24 shares @ 51.8¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.56
$3.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 31?
15 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.49
$0.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 1?
38 shares @ 51.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$14.66
$-4.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?
38 shares @ 35.8¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$13.91
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 31?
16 shares @ 52.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.34
$5.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?
29 shares @ 21.7¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.58
$3.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 1?$0.70Jul 31, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 1?$4.52Jul 31, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?$5.62Jul 31, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 1?$4.72Jul 31, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 1?$2.08Jul 31, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 2?$1.87Jul 31, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on August 1?$6.71Jul 31, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 2?$1.46Jul 31, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?$4.92Jul 31, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2?$1.77Jul 31, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on August 1?$2.39Jul 31, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 1?$0.96Jul 31, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 1?$2.24Jul 31, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 2?$6.32Jul 31, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 2?$2.30Jul 31, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 2?$1.23Jul 31, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 1?$3.20Jul 31, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 1?$1.82Jul 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 2?$1.77Jul 31, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?$0.28Jul 31, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.