Idealistic-Diabetes
0xc0b32ede2c7f79d052a2e0ba44b0909d6301f95e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$314.83
Total PnL
$-12.50
Realised
$-0.67
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 18?
33 shares @ 69.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$28.85
$5.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 18?
31 shares @ 74.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$28.38
$5.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 19?
30 shares @ 75.8¢·now 73.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$21.86
$-0.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 18?
25 shares @ 73.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$21.68
$3.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?
30 shares @ 65.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$21.00
$1.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19?
33 shares @ 64.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$18.77
$-2.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?
25 shares @ 70.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$18.33
$1.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?
31 shares @ 60.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$17.69
$-1.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 18?
24 shares @ 75.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$17.67
$-0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?
23 shares @ 61.3¢·now 69.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$16.23
$1.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?$19.17Aug 17, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 17?$27.01Aug 17, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 17?$13.05Aug 17, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 17?$4.95Aug 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 19?$19.19Aug 17, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 19?$3.80Aug 17, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 17?$1.80Aug 17, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?$2.31Aug 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?$7.79Aug 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?$3.11Aug 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?$1.40Aug 17, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 17?$34.87Aug 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 18?$3.02Aug 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 18?$3.04Aug 17, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 17?$4.11Aug 17, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 18?$2.93Aug 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 18?$1.07Aug 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19?$1.56Aug 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?$1.99Aug 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19?$1.16Aug 17, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 23:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.