Wary-Green
0xc0b81acfcfedc0fb908ecba98bd3f189147e9272
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 550-599 times February 7-14?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?
17390 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-224.65
- YES
Will Elon tweet 800-824 times Feb 7-14?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 14-21?
9999 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 1000-1024 times Feb 7-14?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-22.72
- YES
Will Elon tweet 975-999 times Feb 7-14?
4000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 825-849 times Feb 7-14?
2800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- MAGIC
Rockets vs. Magic
2792 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?
2649 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 14-21?
2000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?$131.24Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?$136.27Jun 23, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLTimberwolves vs. Spurs$394.03May 5, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-10.5)$329.66May 5, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$72.75May 5, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-10.5)$164.17May 5, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Knicks (-7.5)$287.27May 5, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Knicks (-7.5)$19.20May 5, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Knicks (-7.5)$28.77May 5, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-7.5)$177.24May 5, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$15.49May 4, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$5.24May 4, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$22.71May 4, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.00May 4, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$5.20May 4, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$5.21May 4, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.34May 4, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.33May 4, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$25.86May 4, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$5.35May 4, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $85.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 21:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.