Late-Wild
0xc0b81e33e7255f9c8522a67c8620d517fa8a0ee1
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET
316 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-45.16
- NO
Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?
78 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8AM ET
70 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.54
- NO
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
18 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$3.10Jul 1, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8AM ET$10.54Jan 17, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3AM ET$10.28Jan 17, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3AM ET$0.26Jan 17, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3AM ET$8.22Jan 17, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3AM ET$5.00Jan 17, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3AM ET$5.00Jan 17, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$18.22Jan 17, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET$7.87Jan 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 2AM ET$37.29Jan 17, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5PM ET$0.00Jan 17, 07:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 17, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5PM ET$30.00Jan 16, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4PM ET$5.40Jan 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4PM ET$9.60Jan 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4PM ET$10.00Jan 16, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1PM ET$60.68Jan 16, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$9.47Jan 16, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1PM ET$23.06Jan 16, 18:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 16, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $12.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 30, 05:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 07:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.