Educated-Rotation
0xc0c7909d2862a1f9220a825b48256bb35d6f4b41
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$61.02
Total PnL
$-25.64
Realised
$-17.12
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
40 shares @ 27.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$39.68
$28.93
- NO
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
10 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2024$9.71
$0.27
- YES
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$9.09
$4.09
- SOPAJ
Turcios vs. Sopaj
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2024$2.54
$-0.05
- YES
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?
6470 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-12.94
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Iowa Presidential Election?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?
143 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
28 shares @ 73.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel by Friday?$9.44Nov 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTurcios vs. Sopaj$2.60Nov 13, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Iowa Presidential Election?$2.00Nov 5, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$0.00Nov 4, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$12.82Nov 4, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$12.94Oct 11, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?$6.00Oct 10, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$4.00Oct 10, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.75Oct 9, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$20.82Oct 9, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$57.33Oct 8, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMAnother GTA 6 trailer released by October 4?$10.31Oct 8, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military response against Iran today?$8.43Oct 8, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$5.00Oct 8, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$23.05Oct 7, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$23.12Oct 7, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$15.66Oct 3, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$32.73Oct 3, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?$5.00Oct 3, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military response against Iran today?$7.00Oct 3, 06:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $42.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.