Growling-Alibi
0xc0ccb76554b53593c9e70063b49a2b57f6516b20
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$152.35
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
1693 shares @ 11.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$152.35
$-47.65
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
3071 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
2229 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-700.36
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
1372 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?
455 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$207.05Jun 30, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$384.87May 19, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.0KMay 19, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.4KApr 26, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$957.40Apr 15, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$957.40Apr 15, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$623.65Dec 7, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$623.64Nov 23, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$523.86Nov 14, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$500.00Nov 10, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.0KNov 5, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$632.49Oct 22, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser in 2025?$632.49Oct 21, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$483.99Oct 20, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI browser by October 31?$483.99Oct 20, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$14.08Oct 20, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$500.00Oct 20, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$300.00Oct 6, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$814.08Oct 6, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?$700.36Dec 6, 01:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $471.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.