Murky-Uncertainty
0xc0ccb9fa42148fd1d2d932bc25089a30c0ec631c
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.09
Total PnL
$-4.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
- NO
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.00Jan 23, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok 4.20 be released on January 18, 2026?$1.00Jan 19, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMRams vs. Bears$1.52Jan 19, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Bears$1.00Jan 18, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on January 18, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 18, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 18, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?$2.00Jan 18, 21:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".