Offbeat-Sisterinlaw
0xc0cdf9dd4d1c688f648d31636242537a37ac0aa9
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$54.0K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
53449 shares @ 50.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.7K
$3.0K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
53449 shares @ 50.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.8K
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
558 shares @ 72.8¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$432.69
$26.16
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
200 shares @ 62.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$119.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
3123 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.01
- NO
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?
186 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-163.66
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
160 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-149.18
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$74.88Aug 11, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$73.25Aug 11, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$262.88Aug 11, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.05Aug 11, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.61Aug 11, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.05Aug 11, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.25Aug 11, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$5.03Aug 11, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.51Aug 11, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Aug 11, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.85Aug 11, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.66Aug 11, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.01Aug 11, 03:45 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.6KAug 11, 03:19 UTC
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.5KAug 11, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$4.4KAug 11, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$4.31Aug 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$12.65Aug 10, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$1.2KAug 10, 19:16 UTC
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.6KAug 10, 18:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $160.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 00:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 04:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.