Bubbly-Optimal
0xc0d035b2fe8138e00caee5ff7292794ddbf3f7e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$258.48
Total PnL
$-91.01
Realised
$-0.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
46 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$45.81
$0.81
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
21 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$21.22
$0.22
- NO
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
26 shares @ 86.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$18.55
$-3.45
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
15 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$15.24
$0.24
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
15 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$14.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 29?
13 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.26
$0.26
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
11 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.46
$0.46
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
10 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.12
$0.12
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
8 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$8.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 29?$3.05Jul 29, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 29?$2.03Jul 29, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 31?$3.02Jul 29, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 31?$2.00Jul 29, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 31?$7.01Jul 29, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 30?$3.00Jul 29, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 29?$2.55Jul 29, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 29?$7.56Jul 29, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 30?$3.01Jul 29, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 31?$5.00Jul 29, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 30?$4.01Jul 29, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?$3.00Jul 29, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 29?$0.94Jul 29, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$2.18Jul 28, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 28?$7.29Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 28?$2.04Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 28?$3.09Jul 28, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$4.00Jul 28, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$2.01Jul 28, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$2.25Jul 28, 05:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.