Harmless-Representative-Garment
0xc0d3ee6f433ccf11074ea383bb85602ccac9c4b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-59.49
Realised
$11.23
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
122 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
44 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
24 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
21 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
13 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots
13 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$1.21Jun 19, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$1.02Jun 19, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?$1.03Jun 19, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$2.25Jun 19, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$1.02Jun 19, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.14Jun 19, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.85Jun 19, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.03Jun 19, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.06Jun 19, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.30Jun 19, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.04Jun 19, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$4.76Jun 18, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$1.02Jun 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.05Jun 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.06Jun 17, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.03Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.30Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.19Jun 17, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.02Jun 17, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.05Jun 17, 21:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 23:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.