Measly-Gravitas
0xc0db8cb838a44c5b557f36ed1cc32a0c59f1cc17
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-246.26
Realised
$-9.28
Win rate
0%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- EVA LYS
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
160 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$7.25Aug 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$5.11Aug 18, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$5.26Aug 18, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$5.19Aug 18, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$26.89Aug 18, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$25.12Aug 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$27.50Aug 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$25.23Aug 18, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$27.17Aug 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$25.14Aug 18, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$27.48Aug 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$25.19Aug 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$8.32Aug 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$5.16Aug 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$5.17Aug 18, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$6.41Aug 18, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$7.14Aug 18, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.10Jul 25, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.08Jul 24, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$9.62Jul 24, 17:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
33 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $9.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 04:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.