Tender-Bungalow
0xc0dea53a0355a0911db55d2d7e0d748470bc8cc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$7.30
Total PnL
$-14.5K
Realised
$-480.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.38
- YES
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
355453 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.7K
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
101302 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-742.44
- YES
Ethereum all time high by October 31?
36480 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?$1.00Nov 9, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSBF released from custody in 2025?$4.56Nov 9, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$1.00Nov 9, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00Nov 9, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?$1.00Nov 9, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?$1.00Nov 9, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?$1.00Nov 9, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?$1.00Nov 9, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$1.00Nov 9, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$50.00Nov 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$7.00Nov 9, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSBF released from custody in 2025?$5.00Nov 9, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?$1.00Nov 9, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $16.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 01:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.