Gripping-Occasion
0xc0ecf74be8e9fa91b8781753dea99dc2c670c924
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-891.94
Realised
$-42.11
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
850 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
819 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
685 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
449 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
444 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
395 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
224 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
109 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-41.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$10.63Aug 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$10.62Aug 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$10.62Aug 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$52.99Aug 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$52.93Aug 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$52.90Aug 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$52.52Aug 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$52.66Aug 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$53.18Aug 13, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$52.31Aug 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$52.31Aug 13, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$192.95Aug 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$51.78Aug 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$51.57Aug 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.68Aug 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$52.76Aug 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$52.79Aug 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$53.11Aug 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$52.10Aug 13, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $27.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.