Realistic-Tachometer
0xc0ed79013ade0389651f205667bef8f3f06793e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 25?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 8?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 9?
600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 13?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 2?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$89.09Jun 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$89.00Jun 15, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$89.54Jun 15, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$89.00Jun 7, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$89.09Jun 7, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$89.01Jun 2, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$89.09Jun 2, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$89.00May 31, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$88.09May 31, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$88.00May 27, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$88.18May 27, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$88.00May 23, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$88.09May 23, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$88.00May 16, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$88.09May 16, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$88.01May 14, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$88.09May 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$88.00May 11, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$88.09May 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$88.00May 8, 02:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $69.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.