Dirty-Crinoline
0xc0f61c38a26b594edfc7946984f6a28040bc5cb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$4.45
Total PnL
$-77.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 22.1¢·now 25.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 40.2¢·now 30.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
177 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
130 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?$1.06May 31, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$2.06May 30, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 13, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Apr 13, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Apr 13, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Apr 13, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$9.90Apr 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 12, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$5.00Apr 12, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$3.00Apr 12, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$3.00Apr 12, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$2.00Apr 12, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$1.00Apr 12, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$2.00Apr 12, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?$2.00Apr 12, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$3.00Apr 12, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?$1.00Jul 2, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4 released by September 30?$1.00Jul 2, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 11:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".